Tropical Advisories from Weather Underground

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Hurricane Rina

Hurricane Rina developed very quickly into a major storm just east of Belize.  Rapidly intensifying from a tropical depression to a Category 2 hurricane, Rina maintained an almost due westward progression at a crawl of 3mph.  As it grew in strength, feed by the warm waters of the Caribbean, it defied all the experts models and did not turn Northward.  Instead it kept coming straight for us.

As of now, it has begun turning North.  It has also weakened in intensity significantly.  I am still concerned as the US Navy predicted track still shows us to be just on the edge of tropical storm force winds.  But I am no longer afraid that we will be struck by the North side of a Cat 3 Hurricane.

What that means is that we are highly unlikely to die due to this storm.  However we may suffer some structural damage.  I had mentioned in several emails that I would provide an update to our conditions on Thursday.  Due to the slow speed of the storm, it will not have finished with us until perhaps Saturday.  So, Sunday, provided the internet works, I will try to add a comment to this post explaining how we fared through the storm.  I still have concerns.  We have three ewes who could deliver lambs, possibly, probably even during the peak of the storm, in the middle of the night.  It always seems to work out that way.

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